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April 23, 2025
Gold plunged on Wednesday, falling over $50 in the first minutes of trading after the market re-opening and is down over $100 in the early afternoon. Silver is up about 2%, dropping the gold-to-silver ratio under 100 after it had spiked in recent weeks. The drop in gold comes as stocks rallied on hopes of a trade deal with China after a shift in President Trump’s tone towards the nation.
April 16, 2025
April 11, 2025
Gold surges to a record high amid ongoing tariff uncertainty and worry about a global recession. The metal hit $3225 on Friday and continues to climb. Silver also wiped away all of last week’s losses and is trading at $32.25—up about 14% from its recent low. Stocks are up modestly after plunging yesterday to wipe away most of Wednesday’s gains in response to President Trump pausing most tariffs for 90 days. The S&P 500 is up about 1.2% and the Dow is up about 1% heading into the close.
April 8, 2025
April 4, 2025
Stocks are on pace for their worst week since March 2020 after President Trump’s ‘Liberation Day’ tariffs were more extreme than anticipated and the preliminary response from large trading partners such as the EU and China has been retaliatory. Gold and silver are plunging as well after initially rising amid increase tariff worries. Gold is down nearly 5% from this week’s high while silver is down over 10%.
March 24, 2025
Stocks surged Monday after President Trump walked back some of his recent tariff threats, suggesting tariffs that are set to go into place on April 2 will be softer than markets had recently expected. The S&P is up 1.4% and the Nasdaq, which has been hit hardest in recent weeks, is up about 2% heading into the close. Gold retreated from its recent high but is still holding steady above $3,000.
March 18, 2025
Gold surged to a new record high and is currently trading at $3035 as stagflation worries are driving equities lower ahead of tomorrow’s Fed decision. Silver is also up, trading at $34.10, its highest level since October 2024. Stocks are down about 1% after getting crushed over the past two weeks. While rates are expected to remain unchanged tomorrow, any deviation from expected forward guidance or surprises during Fed Chair Powell’s press conference could rattle both metals and equity markets.
March 10, 2025
Gold and silver drifted lower on Monday as profit-taking amid plunging equities offset some of the haven-buying precious metals experienced recently due to rising trade tensions between the US and its allies.
Gold is down about 1% since last week’s high, currently trading at $2882. Stocks are getting slammed as tariff concerns remain the focus of investors. The Nasdaq is down 4.8%, on pace for its worst day since 2022.
January 15th, 2025
December 18th, 2024
November 18th, 2024
Metals drifted lower after CPI and PPI data did little to expedite rate cut expectations for the remainder of 2025. CPI came in as expected and PPI was slightly elevated, signaling that some wholesale prices are not falling as quickly as anticipated. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the Fed is in no hurry to cut rates amid strong economic data, sending both equity and metal markets lower. Gold is trading at $2565, nearly at a 2-month low, and stocks shed about 0.5% on Thursday as investors digest likelihood of interest rates remaining higher for longer after Powell’s comments.
November 14th, 2024
Metals drifted lower after CPI and PPI data did little to expedite rate cut expectations for the remainder of 2025. CPI came in as expected and PPI was slightly elevated, signaling that some wholesale prices are not falling as quickly as anticipated. Fed Chair Jerome Powell stated that the Fed is in no hurry to cut rates amid strong economic data, sending both equity and metal markets lower. Gold is trading at $2565, nearly at a 2-month low, and stocks shed about 0.5% on Thursday as investors digest likelihood of interest rates remaining higher for longer after Powell’s comments.
November 6, 2024
Stocks soared Wednesday after former President Trump won the 2024 presidential election in a more decisive victory than most had anticipated. Stocks are up nearly 3% with all three major indices hitting record highs on the election news. Gold dropped to a three-week low, while silver plunged to a two-month low as the US dollar surged. The Fed is expected to cut rates 25 basis-points on Thursday, but Powell’s guidance for future policy after the election results could rattle markets.
October 18th, 2024
September 24, 2024
Gold and silver continued last week’s rally, fueled by the Fed’s aggressive 50-basis point rate cut and hopes for additional easing in November and December. Gold is up almost 1% today to hit a record high of $2655.
Silver is up $1.30, closing in on a 12-year high which it hit back in May. Stocks are marginally in the green Tuesday, despite consumer confidence unexpectedly falling to a 3-year low on a waning labor market.
September 20, 2024
Gold is trading at $2625 and on pace for a record close since the Fed slashed interest rates 50 basis points on Wednesday. After initially dipping during Jerome Powell’s press conference, gold quickly rebounded and is up over 1.5% for the week. Stocks declined Friday from yesterday’s record highs but are still firmly in the green for the week, up over 1% since the Fed decision.
Aug 23rd, 2024
Gold gained nearly 1% this week after already closing at a record last Friday on positive inflation data and a downward revision in jobs data, creating a perfect scenario for the Fed to begin cutting rates at next month’s meeting. Fed Chair Powell confirmed this sentiment today while speaking at the Jackson Hole conference, stating the time has come for them to begin rate cuts in September. Both metals and equity markets reacted positively to his remarks, with the S&P up about 1% heading into the final hour of trading. Markets have priced in about a 70% chance of a 25-bp cut next month, however a shocker in next week’s PCE could cause that to shift towards 50-bp, which would likely stir up market volatility for both metals and stocks.
August 16th, 2024
Gold surged Friday to a record, breaking $2,500 despite positive economic data which shifted projections for September’s rate cut towards 25-bp instead of 50. Retail spending more than tripled estimates and consumer sentiment rose for the first time in 5 months. Rising geo-political tension coupled with easing inflation and a slowing jobs market helped boost gold despite this positive data. Stocks rallied too, and are poised to notch their best week of 2024, up about 4% heading into the close.
Aug 13th, 2024
Stocks rebounded Tuesday after PPI data showed inflation continued to cool in July, prompting hopes of a 50-basis point rate cut in September. The Dow rose over 400 points and the Nasdaq, which had been hit hardest recently, gained 2.43%. Gold rose too, and is trading near its all-time high, currently at $2470. Week CPI data tomorrow could continue today’s rally in equities and metals markets.
August 2nd, 2024
Stocks plunged Friday after July’s jobs report came in much weaker than expected, igniting fears of a recession and renewed calls for aggressive interest rate cuts in September. Only 114,000 new jobs were created in July and unemployment unexpectedly ticked up to 4.3% (vs 175,000 and 4.1% expected). The S&P 500 and the Dow are both in the red over 2% today, on pace for their worst week in months. Gold drifted lower too, after initially rising on the jobs data. Despite today’s pullback, gold is on pace for a 2% gain this week.
July 26th, 2024
Gold is up about 1.5% Friday, gaining back some of this week’s losses after PCE data came in as expected, enabling markets to firm up bets on a September rate cut. Stocks rebounded too on the data, however, are still on pace for a weekly loss heading into the final hours of trading. Next week’s Fed meeting will likely stir up volatility as projections for rate cuts become clearer.
June 28th, 2024
Gold and silver rebounded Friday after PCE data showed inflation continues to cool, adding to the argument of rate cuts coming sooner rather than later in the second half of 2024. PCE remained flat in July and rose 2.6% year-over-year—both readings were in-line with estimates. Gold rose about 1% and is on pace to close the week out in the green; however, silver is poised to close down about 1% despite today’s rally. Stocks surged Friday with the S&P 500 hitting a record high before losing most of today’s gains in the afternoon.
June 12, 2024
Gold and silver popped Wednesday after inflation data showed prices rose less than expected in May, fueling rate cut hopes for later this year. Both CPI and core-CPI came in cooler than expected, rising 3.3% and 3.4%, respectively (vs 3.4% and 3.5% expected). Gold is up $25.00, trading at $2340 and silver is up nearly a dollar, regaining the $30 threshold. Today’s Fed decision could further the rally, or undo Wednesday’s gains. No rate cut is expected, but Fed Chair Powell’s press conference will likely move markets sharply in one direction or another
May 15, 2024
Gold and silver surged Wednesday after new inflation data showed prices continued to cool last month. April’s CPI showed prices rose 0.3% (vs 0.4% expected) and both CPI and Core CPI year-over-year were in line with expectations. Markets reacted positively to the data, bumping the likelihood of a September rate cut to 53% from 45%. Currently, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are both up nearly 1% on renewed rate cut hopes. Gold is trading at $2385, a 3-week high, while silver is trading at its highest level in a month at $29.40.
May 9th, 2024
Gold is up about 1.5% Thursday as the US dollar eased off recent highs and jobless claims came in higher than expected today, boosting hopes for Fed rate cuts sooner than recently expected. Silver is trading at a 2-week high, right around $28.25 as well. Stocks are poised for a daily win as strong earnings and week employment data are helping to boost equities. The Dow is up 320 points, on pace for a 7-day winning streak.
May 1, 2024
After trending downward over the past two weeks, gold and silver both rebounded after today’s FOMC decision where the Fed rate was expectedly kept at its current level. Gold and silver are both up over 2% from yesterday’s low, with most of their gains coming during Fed Chair Powell’s press conference. Powell’s overall tone was reassuring that current Fed policy will get us to the 2% target for inflation; however, he was non-committal on the number of rate-cuts we can expect in 2024.
April 11, 2024
Despite a brief hiccup yesterday due to a hotter than expected CPI reading, gold rebounded Thursday and is on pace to close near record highs. The metal is currently trading at $2,360 while silver regained the $28 threshold and is trading at a 3-year high. The PPI index rose 0.2% in March and prices jumped 2.1% year-over-year; both readings were below expectations which helped boost metals and equities. The S&P 500 is up about 0.9% today and the Nasdaq is up 1.6%.
April 2nd, 2024
Gold hit a new record this week, passing $2,265 even as bond yields hit fresh 2024 highs on Tuesday. The 10-year treasury yield touched 4.4 percent before retreating causing equities to plunge as hopes of a June rate cut begin to fade. The Dow is down 450 points, and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are down about 1%. Despite rising yields, gold is up $20, trading near its record high and silver is up $0.80, trading at a 10-month high.
March 15, 2025
Gold’s rally stalled Friday and is on pace for a weekly decline after reaching a record high on Monday. Silver, however, is up over 4% this week as the gold to silver ratio dipped below 86 to its lowest level since December. Stocks fell Friday as the likelihood of a June rate cut slipped to 59% after February CPI showed inflation remains stubbornly high. While the chance of a rate cut in March is virtually zero, next week’s FOMC meeting could rattle markets if there is any change in the Fed’s projected guidance.
March 8th, 2024
Gold and silver continued their rally Friday and are currently up about 4.5% each, on pace for their best week in 5 months. February’s mediocre jobs data helped boost metals as unemployment unexpectedly ticked up to 3.9% and previous months’ gains were revised downward sharply. The Fed is still unlikely to cut rates at either of its next two meetings, but a slowing employment market helps the argument for rate cuts amid a slowdown in the decline of inflation. Stocks are down sharply Friday, trading nearly flat for the week.
March 4, 2024
Gold gained 2% to begin the week and is currently trading at $2,115, its highest level in over 3 months. Much of gold’s rise can be attributed to a weakening US dollar and an uptick in the likelihood of a June rate cut after weaker-than-expected manufacturing data last Friday signaled a softening US economy. Silver is up over $0.60 today as well, hitting its highest level since early January.
February 29th, 2024
Metals prices jumped Thursday as treasury yields pulled back on the latest inflation data. The core personal consumption expenditure price index rose 0.4% in January and 2.8% year-over-year, which was in line with expectations.
This was a welcomed change for investors after CPI showed a sudden jump in prices last month, leading to a decline in equity and metals markets. While a March rate cut is still extremely unlikely, this latest data helped boost the likelihood of Fed cuts starting in June.
FideliTrade Market Update: February 29, 2024.
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February 13, 2024
Both equities and metals markets are getting slammed Tuesday after CPI data showed inflation remained stubbornly high in January with both CPI and core CPI coming in hotter than expected. The data gives credence to the Fed’s projected guidance of waiting well into the second half of 2024 to begin cutting rates. Gold slipped below $2,000 to hit a 2-month low and the Dow is down 500 points, on pace for its worst day of 2024.
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February 1st, 2024
Both stocks and metals traded lower Wednesday before the Fed decision where they predictably left rates unchanged. Losses then accelerated during Fed Chair Powell’s press conference when he stated the economy likely won’t be ready for a rate cut in March at their next meeting. Traders had priced in a 90% chance of a March rate cut as recently as a month ago, causing a sharp pullback in equities Wednesday afternoon. The Dow shed 317 points and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq dropped 1.6% and 2.2% respectively.
January 29th, 2024
Stocks rose Monday leading to the S&P 500 closing at a new record high as a decline in US Treasury Q1 borrowing forecasts drove equities up and bond yields down. Gold rallied today as well and is currently trading about 1% above last week’s settlement price as falling bond yields helped boost the metal. The FOMC’s first meeting of 2024 is this week where rates are overwhelmingly expected to remain unchanged. However, any guidance for what to expect in March will likely rattle markets.
January 18th, 2024
Metals and stocks drifted lower Wednesday as investors continued to digest mixed inflation data from last week. CPI showed prices unexpectedly jumped in December while PPI showed they fell more than expected. The effects of this data on future Fed policy remain unclear, but recent comments from Fed officials hint that a rate cut in March is becoming less likely. Gold is down about 2% since Friday’s settlement while stocks shed about 0.5% on Wednesday.
December 8, 2023
After rising to a record high Sunday evening, gold shed 3.5% this week to post its first weekly loss in a month. Silver performed even worse, falling nearly 10% in the same period. Much of these losses came on Friday after a strong employment report gives the Fed reason to possibly hold interest rates higher for longer or even raise rates an additional time if the labor market remains hot in the coming months. Stocks rose about 0.50% Friday, shaking off fears of tighter Fed policy and are on pace to eke out a positive week after today’s gains.
November 17, 2023
Gold and silver rose 2.3% and 6.5% respectively this week as cooling inflation data pushed bond yields lower and metals higher. Stocks closed Friday marginally in the green but gained about 2% for the week as strong earnings and the increasing likelihood of no additional Fed rate hikes led the rally. Fed minutes due out next week could give better insight into current Fed sentiment, however, given this week’s CPI and PPI, their thinking may be more dovish than the minutes reveal.
November 15, 2023
Gold and silver are up about 2% and 5% respectively this week as inflation data came in better than expected, suggesting the Fed is done with rate hikes. CPI came in flat in October and core-CPI hit a 2-year low, rising just 0.2% for the month. Treasury yields plunged while stocks moved in tandem with metals, soaring Tuesday and Wednesday on the promising inflation data as well as strong earnings. The Dow is up 4 days in a row, trading at its highest level since mid-August.
November 1, 2023
Gold and silver rose modestly Wednesday after the Fed’s decision to leave rates unchanged. The Fed emphasized the importance of hitting the 2% inflation target and suggested that could be achieved without further hikes; however, also stated that markets should prepare for interest rates to remain higher for longer than previously projected. Stocks responded positively to both the decision and Powell’s press conference, with the three major indices closing firmly in the green. Bonds rallied this afternoon, dropping yields and further boosting metals and equities.
October 27, 2023
Gold closed above $2,000 for the first time since May as recession fears resurfaced amid less-than-stellar earnings from Wall Street and worries about declining Q4 GDP. The S&P 500 shed 0.5% Friday to enter correction territory, down 10.3% from this year’s high in July. Metals and equities moved in tandem over the past few years, but this week showed a divergence from that trend as escalating tensions in the Middle East and increasing recession worries at home have revitalized their appeal as haven assets.
October 13, 2023
Gold and silver each gained over 5% this week as bond yields fell and geopolitical tensions in the Middle East continue to rise. Stocks were mixed today but closed the week mostly in negative territory as the Israel-Hamas war abroad and inflation data at home leave a lot of uncertainty for investors to digest. Both PPI and CPI were slightly higher than predicted, but the Fed continues to stress patience, suggesting another rate hike this year may not happen.
October 11, 2023
Gold and silver are trading at 2-week highs as bond yields continue to retreat and geopolitical uncertainty rises as the Israel-Hamas war intensifies. PPI data released today came in higher than expected, driven mostly by energy and food prices. Today’s Fed minutes from their September meeting helped stocks rally as the committee appears cautious about not over-tightening in the coming months—suggesting an additional interest rate hike is becoming less likely this year.
October 4, 2023
Metals rebounded modestly on Wednesday as bond yields pulled back. The 10-year dipped below 4.8% and the 30-year dipped below 5% after reaching a 16-year high earlier in the week. Despite the pullback, metals are still trading near recent lows as the Fed continues to stress that higher rates will be here longer than many expect. Stocks rallied Wednesday to regain some of this week’s losses. The S&P rose 0.81% and the Nasdaq jumped 1.35%.
September 27, 2023
Stocks plunged early Tuesday before rebounding to finish virtually flat after having their worst day in months yesterday as bond yields continue to rise amid more hawkish guidance from the Fed. Metals were hit hard too, with gold dipping to a 6-month low as the 10-year yields ticked above 4.6% to reach a 15-year high.
September 22, 2023
Gold rose modestly Friday to close virtually flat for the week, right around $1925. Silver rose too, ending the week up 2.1% after a volatile week where the metal swung about $1 between its high and low. Stocks continued their selloff Friday after the Fed signaled a longer-than-anticipated timeframe before rates begin to fall next year. The Dow closed 1.9% down for the week while the S&P 500 fell 2.9%. The Nasdaq, which has been hit hardest by changes in interest rate guidance, finished the week down 3.65%.
September 20, 2023
Stocks slid Wednesday after the Fed’s decision to leave rates unchanged. The Dow shed 77 points while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq fell about 1% and 1.5%, respectively. The drop comes on the increased likelihood of one additional rate hike in 2023 as well as a downward revision of total rate cuts in 2024. Twelve of the nineteen FOMC members believe another hike is necessary this year to hit inflation goals and the committee predicts rates will drop only 0.50% in 2024, versus 1% that was previously anticipated. Gold and silver fell too after the announcement and revised guidance from the Fed, each down about 1% from today’s highs.
September 15, 2023
Metals rebounded Friday to eke out a win for the week. Gold rose 1.2% for the day to close 0.1% in the green for the week and silver gained 2.5% Friday to finish up 0.6% for the week. Stocks slid Friday, leading to weekly declines of 0.16% and 0.38% for the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, respectively. The Dow Jones fell nearly 300 points Friday, but remained positive for the week, adding 0.12%.
September 13, 2023
Gold declined Wednesday after CPI data showed a slightly higher-than-expected uptick in inflation for August. Rising oil prices are to blame for most of it, but core CPI came in at 0.3% vs 0.2% expected. A pause in rate hikes is still overwhelmingly expected from the Fed next week, and stocks subsequently shook off the CPI data, closing mixed for the day. The Dow dropped 70 points while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed modestly in the green, up 0.12% and 0.29% respectively.
August 29, 2023
Gold and silver rose Tuesday to 3-week highs as job openings dropped to their lowest level since March 2021. Stocks surged too as a cooling labor market helps make the case against further rate hikes. Both metals and equities could be poised to rise higher if PCE and August unemployment data also miss estimates, which investors seem to be betting on given today’s rally. Stocks had one of their best days in months with the Dow gaining nearly 300 points and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq jumping 1.45% and 1.79% respectively.
August 18, 2023
Gold declined for its fourth consecutive weekly loss, closing at $1,888, finishing the week below $1,900 for the first time since March. Meanwhile, silver eked out a win, gaining $0.06 this week. Gold’s decline came as treasury yields popped, due to somewhat hawkish minutes from the Fed’s July meeting. Stocks closed nearly flat on Friday but finished the week down about 2% as investors weigh recent earnings with the likelihood of higher interest lingering longer than recently predicted based on the tone of last month’s Fed minutes.
August 16, 2023
Metals drifted lower Wednesday after Fed minutes showed a higher-than-expected chance of additional rate hikes in 2023 to combat inflation. Gold is trading near a 5-month low, around $1,892, and silver is trading at $22.45, its lowest level in over 2 months. Stocks traded lower and bond yields ticked up on the Fed minutes. The Dow shed 140 points and the S&P is down 0.6%. The Nasdaq, which has been most impacted by interest rate predictions over the past year, is down 1%.
August 11, 2023
Gold and silver shed 1.5% and 4.1% respectively this week as inflation data did little to ease investors’ minds about further 2023 rate hikes. Both CPI and PPI were relatively tame in July and in line with expectations. However, even as prices continue to cool, the rate at which they are leaves room for further Fed tightening. Stocks closed mixed on Friday, with the Dow up 105 points and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq negative for the day. FOMC minutes from July are due out next week and should provide greater insight into where the Fed stands regarding policy decisions in the coming months.
August 04, 2023
Stocks and metals initially rose Friday on the latest jobs report before retreating into negative territory later in the session. In July, 187,000 jobs were created, which missed expectations and was the lowest level since December 2020. However, wage growth came in higher than expected, rising 4.4% year-over-year, leaving the effects this data will have on Fed policy unclear. The Dow is down 100 points, nearly a 400-point swing from today’s high, and the S&P 500 shed 0.4% heading into the final hour of trading.
July 28, 2023
After Thursday’s post-Fed selloff, metals rebounded to recoup some of their losses on weakening inflation data Friday. CPE rose 3% year-over-year and core CPE came in slightly lower than expected at 4.1% which is its lowest level since September 2021. Stocks surged on the PCE data with the Nasdaq leading the way, up 2% heading into the final hour of trading. The S&P 500 gained 1% and the Dow is up 177 points, or 0.5%.
July 27, 2023
Gold and silver drifted upwards prior to today’s interest rate decision and continued higher after the Fed expectedly raised rates 0.25%. Chairman Powell was relatively vague and non-committal in his press conference, noting the positive inflation data from earlier this month while reemphasizing the FOMC’s commitment to the 2% benchmark. Gold and silver are up about 1.5% and 3% respectively from this week’s lows after the decision. Stocks closed mixed with the S&P virtually flat, the Nasdaq down 0.1%, and the Dow up 82 points. Today is the Dow’s 13th consecutive win, its longest since 1987.
July 24, 2023
Stocks rose Monday across the board ahead of a big week for earnings and an important Fed decision due out on Wednesday. The S&P and Nasdaq gained 0.4% and 0.2%, respectively, and the Dow rose 184 points for its 11th consecutive winning session. The Fed is expected to raise rates 0.25%, but even more important than the decision will be Fed Chair Powell’s tone during his press conference. Metals drifted lower to begin the week but any dovish comments from the FOMC on Wednesday could help gold and silver based on previous meetings this year.
July 19, 2023
Stocks traded modestly higher today as strong bank earnings and weakening inflation make the likelihood of a recession this year continue to fade. Gold and silver are still hovering near recent highs, trading at $1,978 and $25.15, respectively. A rate hike is still expected next week, but a more dovish tone for future guidance is likely if they do raise rates. Metals could continue upward if there is any indication that next week’s increase may be the last from the Fed this year.
July 12, 2023
Both equities and metals jumped Wednesday after CPI data showed inflation cooled in June more than expected. Both CPI and core CPI rose 0.2% and 3.0% year-over-year, missing estimates of 0.3% and 3.1%. Gold hit a 3-week high and is currently trading at $1,958 and silver is up over 4% today, trading above $24.00 for the first time since mid-June. The S&P 500 gained 0.74% and the Nasdaq—which had been hit hardest by rising rates—jumped 1.15% as investors await what this latest inflation data means for Fed policy going forward.
July 07,2023
Gold and silver rose Friday to finish the week in positive territory after June’s jobs report came in mixed with new jobs missing estimates and unemployment ticking down to 3.6%. The slowdown in job growth was enough to give metals a reason to rise, which had been trending negatively since the Fed doubled down on its hawkish tone earlier this week. For the week, gold rose 0.4% and silver gained 1.5%. Stocks are mixed heading into the close with the Dow down 50 points and the S&P 500 and Nasdaq up 0.2% and 0.4% respectively.
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May 2nd, 2025
Stocks rallied on Friday amid strong corporate earnings and a better-than-expected jobs report. In April, 177,000 jobs were created versus 138,000 expected and unemployment remained steady at 4.2%.
Equities were further boosted as China said it is evaluating US outreach to begin trade talks, something the country was unwilling to do after initially receiving a 145% tariff on most exports to the US earlier this month.
Gold ticked up today as well, currently up about 1% after plunging over $100 on Thursday.